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CaleresC
NYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Caleres enters the Q2 print with Q1 sales growth, margin expansion, Brand Portfolio momentum, and a modest full-year adjusted EPS guide raise. Continued brand strength and stabilization at Famous Footwear could support earnings recovery.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.0.
What can break
Analyst revision, options, short-interest, and social-sentiment data are unavailable or insufficient for confirmation.
Momentum
46
Value
52
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.50 · Bull $17.00 · Bear $9.50Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.00
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d -21.9
Value52 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -6.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Analyst revision, options, short-interest, and social-sentiment data are unavailable or insufficient for confirmation.
  • Execution risk remains around Stuart Weitzman profitability, assortment changes, and tariff mitigation.
  • The Q2 release could expose continued softness at Famous Footwear, weaker consumer demand, or execution pressure around Stuart Weitzman and tariff mitigation.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-09

Q2 2026 earnings release is the next decisive read-through

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
46
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-21.9
Δ21d
-32.7
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-4.3
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 46.2 / Value 51.7 / Sentiment 66.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$446.07M
Beta
0.65
Shares Out
33.59M
P/E (TTM)
19.9
P/S (TTM)
0.16
P/FCF (TTM)
272.84
Rev YoY
+8.5%
EPS YoY
+105.6%
Gross Margin
+42.9%
Op Margin
+1.4%
Net Debt
$861.36M
Current Ratio
1.03
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data