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NYSE / Banks
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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3
B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-10-27
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.3
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-0.3
Mixed
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+67.3
Score

AI commentary

The verified earnings release is positive, but the post-print market response was modest: BY rose 1.08% on October 23 and closed October 26 at the same $38.40. Price history A trusted earnings report reported $0.94 EPS versus $0.82 consensus; no verified post-print analyst target or estimate revision was found. Social, options, short-interest and employee measures were not supplied, so the zero values above represent unavailable data, not neutral readings.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-27
Open post-earnings memo

Evidence flagged

later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence

Impact
tentative
Confidence
-

AI events

2026-11-30catalystPost-earnings assessment of record revenue and loan runoffMedium impact

Q3 revenue reached $121.0 million and diluted EPS was $0.94, versus $0.90 in Q2. Net interest margin rose five basis points to 4.33%, while loans declined as elevated payoffs exceeded originations. The next few weeks may determine whether investors emphasize earnings strength or weaker loan balances. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]

2027-01-25eventQ4 expense and lending outlook testedMedium impact

On the Q3 call, management expected roughly flat Q4 loan balances, $103 million–$105 million of net interest income and $62 million–$64 million of noninterest expense. The next results will test whether deposit-funded margin gains offset loan payoffs and higher costs. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q3] Transcript

2027-03-31eventIllinois State Bancorp acquisition closingMedium impact

The announced cash-and-stock transaction is valued at approximately $87.9 million and is expected to close in Q1 2027, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals. It could add core deposits and Chicago-area scale, but closing and integration remain unproven. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-06] SEC merger exhibit

View full catalyst timeline

Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology