B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BNY
Bank of New York MellonCNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print showed record revenue, strong EPS growth, positive operating leverage, 31.3% ROTCE, broad-based business growth, and substantial shareholder distributions. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-15]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Capital ratios and leverage declined year over year in the Q2 filing.
Momentum
68
Value
53
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $169.21 · Bull $180.00 · Bear $140.58Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $169.93
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d +0.5
Value53 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +4.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Capital ratios and leverage declined year over year in the Q2 filing.
- • Fee and market-sensitive businesses depend on client activity and capital-markets conditions.
- • Results remain exposed to market activity, client engagement, fee growth, and net interest income.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-14
Post-Q2 earnings durability
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
-8.3
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
+2.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 67.8 / Value 52.8 / Sentiment 64.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$169.21
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$140.58
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$111.46B
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
678.5M
P/E (TTM)
17.5
P/S (TTM)
4.27
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-647.75
Rev YoY
-1.6%
EPS YoY
+26.8%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+19.3%
Net Debt
-$44.52B
Current Ratio
1.59
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data