BCC
Boise CascadeANYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
Current thesis
The best near-term bull argument is that BCC beat low revenue and EPS expectations, Q2 EBITDA guidance implies at least some sequential recovery from Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $66.6M, liquidity remains strong, and ongoing buybacks add support if housing demand merely stabilizes.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Commodity wood-product pricing and EWP margin pressure remain the main earnings risk, with LVL and I-joist prices down year over year and BMD gross margins softer, especially in EWP. [#8-K-2026-05-04]
Momentum
82
Value
61
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $80.00 · Bull $90.00 · Bear $68.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-22
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $92.33
Why
Momentum82 · Δ7d +3.4
Value61 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
82
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.4
Δ21d
+13.9
Value
61
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
49
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
+2.8
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 81.7 / Value 61.1 / Sentiment 49.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-22
Market Cap
$2.73B
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
35.19M
P/E (TTM)
15.0
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
3197.53
Rev YoY
-2.5%
EPS YoY
-53.1%
Gross Margin
+13.8%
Op Margin
+4.0%
Net Debt
$45M
Current Ratio
2.77
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

