BAER

Bridger Aerospace GroupA

Nasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services

At close

2026-06-02

Current thesis

Bull case: management reaffirmed full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance despite a weak Q1, the DOI contract adds multi-year utilization, and fire-season intensity remains the main upside lever if dispatch volumes stay elevated.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite.

What can break

Liquidity and leverage are still a concern: cash was $9.0 million at March 31, 2026 versus $215.9 million of long-term debt, and the company drew $6.0 million on its revolver in Q1.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $3.00 · Bull $5.25 · Bear $1.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-02

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-02

Supporting evidence

What

Grade A · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $5.25

Why

Momentum98 · Δ7d -

Value68 · Δ7d -0.3

Sentiment86 · Δ7d -

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.3

Δ21d

-0.5

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 98.2 / Value 68.4 / Sentiment 85.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-01

Market Cap

$127.96M

Beta

0.14

Shares Out

55.54M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-2.8

P/S (TTM)

0.79

P/FCF (TTM)

4.23

Rev YoY

+5.2%

EPS YoY

+20.5%

Gross Margin

+44.2%

Op Margin

+20.7%

Net Debt

$165.34M

Current Ratio

3.95

As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology