BAER
Bridger Aerospace GroupANasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-17
Current thesis
The constructive case is that Q1 looked seasonally weak but not thesis-breaking, with guidance reiterated, earliest-ever mobilization, added surveillance capability, and a contracted utilization tailwind from the Alaska DOI award [#SEC-8K-2026-05-12].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Balance-sheet flexibility exists through delayed-draw capacity noted in earnings materials, but continued fleet modernization and readiness spending can pressure cash before seasonal cash generation improves.
Momentum
98
Value
50
Sentiment
100
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.40 · Bull $4.60 · Bear $1.20
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-17 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-17
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-17
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $4.12
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d -
Value50 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment100 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
98
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
50
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
100
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 98.2 / Value 50.1 / Sentiment 100.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$111.82M
Beta
0.14
Shares Out
57.64M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.6
P/S (TTM)
0.79
P/FCF (TTM)
4.23
Rev YoY
-45.6%
EPS YoY
+68.9%
Gross Margin
+36.7%
Op Margin
+20.7%
Net Debt
$213.5M
Current Ratio
0.90
As of 2026-07-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology