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AVPT

AvePointA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The earnings release showed strong operating momentum: 27% ARR growth, 27% SaaS growth, 111% net retention, improved GAAP operating income, and higher full-year ARR guidance. Six-month operating cash flow was $40.2 million versus $20.8 million a year earlier [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.
What can break
Consensus surprise data, analyst revisions, and target changes are unavailable.
Momentum
75
Value
52
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.75 · Bull $16.17 · Bear $10.85Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.72
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d +2.2
Value52 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +5.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Consensus surprise data, analyst revisions, and target changes are unavailable.
  • • Foreign-exchange movements may offset revenue and non-GAAP operating-income progress.
  • • The print included year-over-year gross- and non-GAAP operating-margin compression, higher planned second-half spending, and FX pressure.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 2026 beat and raised ARR outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
75
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
+31.4
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
+3.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 74.5 / Value 52.2 / Sentiment 75.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$16.17
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$13.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.85
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.8B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
211.57M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
79.1
P/S (TTM)
7.41
P/FCF (TTM)
34.50
Rev YoY
+22.0%
EPS YoY
+957.6%
Gross Margin
+73.3%
Op Margin
+9.8%
Net Debt
-$463.61M
Current Ratio
2.00
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data