B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$16.17
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AVPT
AvePointBNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$13.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.85
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-08
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.7
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+72.8
Score
AI commentary
The primary earnings release supports a positive operating update, but the packet does not provide consensus comparisons, analyst revisions, options, short-interest, or employee-rating data. The post-print anchor close was $12.79 on 2026-08-07, but the prior close and trusted attribution of the one-day market reaction are unavailable. This remains a positive but monitoring-oriented thesis.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-08
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-06eventQ2 2026 beat and raised ARR outlookMedium impact
AvePoint reported Q2 revenue of $124.5 million, SaaS revenue of $98.5 million, and ARR of $465.1 million, and stated that results outperformed all guided metrics. Full-year ARR guidance was raised to $522.1-$528.1 million [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
2026-08-31catalystRecent officer open-market sellingMedium impact
Chief Legal Officer Brian Michael Brown reported open-market sales totaling 40,000 shares at $13.00-$13.18 on July 14-15. This is a sentiment overhang, not evidence of operating deterioration [#SEC-FORM4-2026-07-16].
2026-12-31catalystMargin, expense, and foreign-exchange pressureMedium impact
GAAP gross margin fell to 73.1% from 74.0%, while non-GAAP operating margin fell to 16.3% from 18.4%. Management also increased second-half expense plans and cited foreign-exchange headwinds in the updated outlook [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology