B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
+15.6% vs current
AUBN
Auburn National BancorporationCNasdaq / Banks
Last Price
At close
2026-06-03
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
+4.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
-15.3% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-03
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+16.0
Positive
Company
+23.6
Positive
Macro
+16.9
Positive
Pulse
-34.8
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+49.5
Score
AI commentary
Market commentary is mixed but slightly constructive: recent write-ups and forecasts cluster around $24–$28, implying limited dispersion in near-term expectations [#SERP-1][#SERP-2]. Short-term technicals and retail interest have driven intra-month swings, while consensus targets show modest upside versus the anchor [#SERP-7].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-03
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-30eventDividend declaration / payoutMedium impact
Regular dividend decision by the board could support the share base or be reduced if credit costs rise; no specific IR date disclosed, assumption: decision within the next quarter (model uses end-of-quarter assumption) [#SERP-1].
2026-05-04catalystQuarterly earnings release and guidanceMedium impact
Next quarterly report (Q4/2025 results) may show loan growth and margin trends; market reaction likely given recent price volatility and intra-month highs/lows [#SERP-2]. Assumed date used for modeling is conservative (quarterly cadence).
2027-02-03catalystSustained loan growth / margin expansionHigh impact
If Auburn sustains above-peer loan growth and net interest margin expansion over the next year, multiple expansion toward regional peer levels is plausible; outcome tied to macro and local market conditions [#SERP-6].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology