B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$29.13
+10.6% vs current
AUBN
Auburn National BancorporationBNasdaq / Banks
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+1Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$26.53
+0.7% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.11
-16.1% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-21
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.4
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.4
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+45.7
Score
AI commentary
Tone is mildly constructive on the last verified Q1 results, but current coverage is thin. The packet provides no social context, analyst targets, post-earnings revisions, options data, or confirmed Q2 market reaction; missing reaction and revision data are not positive evidence.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-21
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-12-31catalystSustained community-bank operating execution could support reratingHigh impact
Q1 operating trends were constructive, including improved margin, revenue growth, controlled noninterest expense, and very low reported nonperforming assets. Forward visibility remains limited because no current guidance or analyst estimates are available. [#SEC-8K-2026-04-28]
2027-07-21eventQ2 earnings confirmation remains the key near-term triggerMedium impact
The packet marks July 20, 2026 as a scheduled post-earnings follow-up, but no confirmed Q2 company release, 8-K, consensus comparison, analyst revision, or market-reaction evidence is available. The last verified print showed Q1 EPS up 43% year over year, net interest income up 10%, NIM up 19 basis points to 3.28%, and annualized loan growth of 12%, while charge-offs increased. [#SEC-8K-2026-04-28]
2027-07-21catalystDividend continuity provides modest shareholder supportMedium impact
A company announcement reported a second-quarter cash dividend of $0.27 per share, payable June 25, 2026. The payment date has passed, so this is primarily a defensive carry signal rather than a fresh event catalyst. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-05-13]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology