RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

AUBN

Auburn National BancorporationB
Nasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q2 margin expansion, loan growth and low reported nonperforming assets provide a constructive historical baseline. Sustained performance could justify a premium to the June book value, but Q3 confirmation is missing.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.7.
What can break
Reciprocal-deposit fluctuations complicate interpretation of Q2 deposit growth. Company Q2 release
Momentum
60
Value
58
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $27.00 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d -
Value58 · Δ7d +1.7
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Reciprocal-deposit fluctuations complicate interpretation of Q2 deposit growth. Company Q2 release
  • • The Q2 loss contingency and uncertain insurance recovery present an expense risk. Company Q2 release
  • • Q2 earnings benefited from a negative provision; a return to credit-loss charges, less favorable deposit mix or higher expenses could erode earnings.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Unconfirmed third-quarter earnings follow-up

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
60
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
+2.4
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 60.2 / Value 58.2 / Sentiment 58.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$88.99M
Beta
0.43
Shares Out
3.48M
P/E (TTM)
12.9
P/S (TTM)
2.88
P/FCF (TTM)
13.47
Rev YoY
+5.1%
EPS YoY
+25.4%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+23.7%
Net Debt
-$15.63M
Current Ratio
0.27
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data