B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ASUR
Asure SoftwareBNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-10
Recent news sentiment (30D)
0.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+69.2
Score
AI commentary
Cautiously neutral. The official Q2 release supports strong operating momentum and constructive guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30], but analyst target coverage is uncounted, peer validation is weak, recent-news and social coverage are unavailable, and no reliable post-print market reaction or revision signal was supplied. Missing sentiment metrics are not treated as positive evidence.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-10
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-11-23eventQ3 2026 results versus company guidanceHigh impact
Asure reported Q2 revenue of $37.1 million, up 23% year over year, recurring revenue of $34.0 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $7.7 million. Management guided Q3 revenue to $38.0-$40.0 million and full-year revenue to $159.0-$163.0 million, with full-year adjusted EBITDA margin guidance of 24%-25% [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
2026-12-01catalystExpanded FRPG distribution partnershipMedium impact
The company announced an expanded partnership with FRPG Restaurant Rewards, whose network spans 20 states and approximately 3,000 members. The agreement may improve distribution in the independent restaurant segment, but conversion and financial contribution remain unquantified [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
2027-09-10catalystRecurring revenue and operating-leverage executionHigh impact
Q2 results showed 19% recurring-revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA growth to $7.7 million from $5.2 million year over year. Management cited product attach rates, AsureWorks pipeline progress, AI capabilities, and sales execution as second-half priorities, but durable re-rating depends on continued delivery [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology