B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ASTC
AstrotechFNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary-source evidence supports a cautious bull case centered on improving operating discipline, a stated shift toward saleable EN-SCAN and TRACER 1000 product lines, and a deployed footprint that could help convert security-related pilots into commercial revenue.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Coverage is thin and peer comparability is loose, so absence of analyst revisions after earnings should be read as an evidence gap rather than a positive signal.
Momentum
24
Value
34
Sentiment
16
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.60 · Bull $3.40 · Bear $1.80Analysis 2026-05-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d -17.3
Value34 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment16 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Coverage is thin and peer comparability is loose, so absence of analyst revisions after earnings should be read as an evidence gap rather than a positive signal.
- • Liquidity is still finite even after the balance-sheet cushion improved the near-term runway: cash fell to $2.679M and short-term investments to $3.903M from $18.208M combined at June 30, 2025 [#10-Q-2026-05-13].
- • The bear case remains stronger near term: revenue is still very small, Q3 sales fell year over year, losses remain heavy, and management explicitly says substantial additional capital will be required for longer-term growth [#10-Q-2026-05-13].
Catalyst clock
2026-05-20
Q3 FY2026 earnings confirmed cost control but not a revenue inflection
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-17.3
Δ21d
-75.8
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
16
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 24.1 / Value 34.3 / Sentiment 15.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$2.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$16.39M
Beta
0.38
Shares Out
2.01M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.0
P/S (TTM)
5.04
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.94
Rev YoY
-35.8%
EPS YoY
+3.0%
Gross Margin
-88.1%
Op Margin
-1369.8%
Net Debt
-$15.53M
Current Ratio
6.17
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data