B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.40
-92.5% vs current
ASTC
AstrotechFNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$2.60
-94.3% vs current
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.80
-96.0% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-14
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+6.6
Positive
Company
+17.2
Positive
Macro
+7.9
Positive
Pulse
-35.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
0.0
Score
AI commentary
Primary-company news flow includes the May 13 earnings report, but the evidence packet does not provide a reliable analyst-revision wave or broad post-print coverage. The anchor price was $2.69 on May 13, 2026, and with low external coverage this remains a tentative monitoring-style post-earnings setup rather than a confirmed re-rating.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-14
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
Coverage is limited for this name. This memo is usable, but confidence is lower and evidence depth is thinner than a standard report.
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-20eventQ3 FY2026 earnings confirmed cost control but not a revenue inflectionMedium impact
Astrotech's May 13 earnings release showed Q3 revenue of $343k versus $534k a year earlier, gross profit of $67k, and net loss of $3.768M, while management highlighted disciplined expense control and a sales pipeline still needing conversion into revenue [#8-K-2026-05-13] [#10-Q-2026-05-13].
2026-08-31eventTransition from development stage to saleable products needs order evidenceHigh impact
Management said R&D expense declined as Astrotech transitions from development stage to saleable products for its EN-SCAN Handheld GC and 1st Detect TRACER 1000 product lines, but the earnings release did not yet show a clear revenue acceleration [#8-K-2026-05-13].
2026-12-31catalystInstalled base and pipeline conversion remain the real thesis testHigh impact
Management said TRACER 1000 has been deployed in about 37 locations across 16 countries, but the investment case still depends on turning those deployments and current lead generation into repeat product revenue rather than continuing sub-$1M year-to-date sales [#8-K-2026-05-13] [#10-Q-2026-05-13].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology