ASPN

Aspen AerogelsB

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

Primary-source support for the bull case is mainly operational stabilization: Aspen reported $173.9 million of unrestricted cash, said that balance should fund at least the next twelve months, and guided to sequentially better Q2 revenue and profitability versus Q1 [#10-Q-2026-05-08] [#8-K-2026-05-07]. Checked secondary consensus pages also indicate Q2 revenue guidance brackets consensus and that sell-side targets remain mixed around roughly $4.2-$4.25 rather than collapsing further immediately after the print.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-23.

What can break

Customer concentration is still high; filings say PyroThin sales have been primarily to GM, and the Q1 settlement cash is supportive but non-recurring.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $4.40 · Bull $6.40 · Bear $3.00

Earnings

2026-07-23

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $6.35

Why

Momentum75 · Δ7d -9.0

Value59 · Δ7d -0.5

Sentiment42 · Δ7d +0.3

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-9.0

Δ21d

-18.5

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.5

Δ21d

+2.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.3

Δ21d

+10.5

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 74.8 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 41.6

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$450.03M

Beta

2.99

Shares Out

82.88M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-1.1

P/S (TTM)

0.76

P/FCF (TTM)

99.73

Rev YoY

-51.9%

EPS YoY

-92.2%

Gross Margin

+11.9%

Op Margin

-83.1%

Net Debt

-$14.86M

Current Ratio

2.88

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology