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ARW

Arrow ElectronicsA
NYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter sales rose 32% year over year to $10.0 billion, above the high end of Arrow's guidance, while non-GAAP diluted EPS reached $5.45. Components growth, backlog and book-to-bill above parity could sustain earnings if orders convert profitably.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Enterprise Computing Solutions profit declined despite sales growth in the second quarter; a leadership handoff could complicate margin recovery. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] [#8-K-2026-10-15]
Momentum
83
Value
67
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $213.00 · Bull $240.00 · Bear $175.00Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $235.00
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d +3.9
Value67 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +0.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Enterprise Computing Solutions profit declined despite sales growth in the second quarter; a leadership handoff could complicate margin recovery. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] [#8-K-2026-10-15]
  • • The duration and profitability of elevated component orders remain unproven. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • The second-quarter pace may not persist.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29

November 5 third-quarter results test

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
83
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
-5.7
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+10.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 82.7 / Value 67.4 / Sentiment 53.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$240.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$213.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$175.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$10.68B
Beta
1.04
Shares Out
50.91M
P/E (TTM)
12.5
P/S (TTM)
0.20
P/FCF (TTM)
61.82
Rev YoY
+31.8%
EPS YoY
+46.6%
Gross Margin
+10.9%
Op Margin
+3.8%
Net Debt
$3.04B
Current Ratio
1.22
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data