B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$233.10
+81.7% vs current
ARES
Ares ManagementANYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$191.83
+49.5% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$146.47
+14.2% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-08
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+18.4
Positive
Company
+23.6
Positive
Macro
+18.7
Positive
Pulse
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+98.6
Score
AI commentary
Consensus sentiment is cautiously positive: median analyst estimates sit well above the current anchor, implying upside if fundraising and realizations proceed [#SERP-1][#SERP-4]. Near-term tone will hinge on quarterly results and credit-market signals; dispersion at the high end reflects execution risk tied to exits and carry timing [#SERP-7].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-08
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
No AI events listed.
View full catalyst timelineRecommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology