AR

Antero ResourcesC

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

If the delayed/impending Q1 2026 release confirms the planned production step-up, HG integration benefits, and visible deleveraging, AR has room to move toward the mid-40s where the packet's mean/median target sits.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.2.

What can break

AR remains highly exposed to natural gas and NGL pricing, so realized-price slippage can offset volume growth and weaken free-cash-flow delivery.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $43.00 · Bull $48.00 · Bear $32.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $49.19

Why

Momentum33 · Δ7d -10.4

Value46 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment66 · Δ7d -6.2

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-10.4

Δ21d

+16.7

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

+0.6

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.2

Δ21d

+3.6

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 33.0 / Value 46.4 / Sentiment 66.2

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$10.3B

Beta

0.56

Shares Out

309.84M

P/E (TTM)

19.0

P/S (TTM)

2.02

P/FCF (TTM)

12.80

Rev YoY

+34.1%

EPS YoY

+160.2%

Gross Margin

+25.8%

Op Margin

+11.8%

Net Debt

$3.32B

Current Ratio

0.40

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology