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APTV

AptivA
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 adjusted EBITDA reached $613 million and management reported double-digit non-automotive revenue growth. Sustained margins, cash conversion and commercial wins could support a post-spin rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · BMO.
What can break
Automotive demand and unfavorable customer mix could pressure sales and margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
46
Value
70
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $47.00 · Bull $57.00 · Bear $34.00Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-03 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $63.71
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d +23.8
Value70 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Automotive demand and unfavorable customer mix could pressure sales and margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • First-half free cash flow of negative $196 million leaves a substantial second-half recovery needed to meet August full-year guidance. Aptiv Q2 release
  • • Management identified a dynamic automotive market and unfavorable customer mix.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-03 · BMO

November 3 results test post-spin guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
46
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+23.8
Δ21d
+29.2
Value
70
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-12.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 45.7 / Value 69.5 / Sentiment 65.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$57.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$9.06B
Beta
1.51
Shares Out
207.63M
P/E (TTM)
63.9
P/S (TTM)
0.86
P/FCF (TTM)
9.82
Rev YoY
+2.3%
EPS YoY
-36.0%
Gross Margin
+17.6%
Op Margin
+9.7%
Net Debt
$6.24B
Current Ratio
2.02
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data