AMRC
AmerescoBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
Primary-source evidence improved on the print: Q1 revenue, awards, backlog, and visibility all moved in the right direction, and management said it would have reaffirmed prior guidance absent the Neogenyx ownership-accounting change. With shares near $31.36 versus the packet median target of $45.5, the market is still discounting execution risk more than growth optionality.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.1.
What can break
Backlog is not fully locked: the 10-K states customers can under some circumstances terminate contracts or defer the timing of services and payments, which matters for a project-weighted revenue model [#10-K-2026-03-03].
Momentum
90
Value
45
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $37.00 · Bull $45.50 · Bear $24.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-02 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $45.50
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d +7.1
Value45 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -5.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
90
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+7.1
Δ21d
+17.4
Value
45
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
49
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.5
Δ21d
-5.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 90.2 / Value 45.2 / Sentiment 49.4
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-02
Market Cap
$1.91B
Beta
2.52
Shares Out
52.8M
P/E (TTM)
26.2
P/S (TTM)
0.87
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-4.75
Rev YoY
+5.0%
EPS YoY
+5.1%
Gross Margin
+14.7%
Op Margin
+6.8%
Net Debt
$1.52B
Current Ratio
1.51
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology