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AMRC

AmerescoD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull case is that AMRC is trading far below the sparse 45.5 median target while primary sources still support substantial backlog, long-dated revenue visibility, and a 2026 growth frame; if backlog converts cleanly and Neogenyx accounting noise does not obscure asset economics, the stock has room to rerate from depressed levels.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.2.
What can break
Forward visibility is strong at the backlog level, but near-term profitability and cash-generation cadence are less clearly evidenced in the packet than topline opportunity.
Momentum
6
Value
49
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $32.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $22.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $43.00
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d -2.6
Value49 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +9.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
-6.2
Value
49
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
80
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.2
Δ21d
+20.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 6.2 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 80.3

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-22
Market Cap
$1.24B
Beta
2.52
Shares Out
52.95M
P/E (TTM)
26.2
P/S (TTM)
0.87
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-3.50
Rev YoY
+13.8%
EPS YoY
+230.4%
Gross Margin
+15.4%
Op Margin
+6.8%
Net Debt
$1.78B
Current Ratio
1.31
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology