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AMPL

AmplitudeD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
View Chart
Current thesis
The better-than-feared part of the quarter was demand quality: ARR grew 17%, RPO grew 31%, enterprise customers over $100K ARR rose 18% to 727, and customers over $1M ARR rose 25% to 55 [#8-K-2026-05-06] [#10-Q-2026-05-07]. If the market concludes the selloff over-discounted a temporary investment step-up, shares have recovery potential, but the peer set and forward evidence do not support a standard-conviction bullish thesis yet.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.7.
What can break
Amplitude's filings still emphasize exposure to customer retention, enterprise sales-cycle variability, IT spending pressure, and evolving privacy/data laws, which can slow growth even if product interest stays healthy [#10-K-2026-02-19].
Momentum
94
Value
41
Sentiment
11
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.40 · Bull $8.25 · Bear $4.75
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.86
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d +15.7
Value41 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment11 · Δ7d -4.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
94
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.7
Δ21d
+79.8
Value
41
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
11
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
-20.6
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 94.1 / Value 41.4 / Sentiment 10.8

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$1.3B
Beta
1.50
Shares Out
132.67M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-14.7
P/S (TTM)
4.45
P/FCF (TTM)
81.79
Rev YoY
+16.9%
EPS YoY
+1.9%
Gross Margin
+73.5%
Op Margin
-34.1%
Net Debt
-$182.43M
Current Ratio
1.41
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology