RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

AMG

Affiliated Managers GroupB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Record AUM, strong net inflows, increasing alternative-strategy contribution, robust earnings growth, and buybacks support a constructive medium-term thesis. The deterministic prior is positive, with projected returns of 6.8% over 20 days and 14.3% over 120 days.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Earnings growth and valuation support may depend on sustained alternative-strategy demand, market gains, and successful affiliate investments.
Momentum
88
Value
56
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $425.00 · Bull $470.00 · Bear $300.00Analysis 2026-08-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $446.29
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d +1.5
Value56 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -2.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Earnings growth and valuation support may depend on sustained alternative-strategy demand, market gains, and successful affiliate investments.
  • • Insider activity is mixed and includes option exercises, tax withholding, an open-market CEO sale, and a director purchase; it is not evidence of operating performance.
  • • The thesis remains dependent on continued alternative inflows and favorable asset markets.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

July 30 Q2 earnings and alternative-flow inflection

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
88
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
+7.9
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-14.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 87.7 / Value 55.7 / Sentiment 57.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-12. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$470.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$425.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$10.11B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
25.86M
P/E (TTM)
19.5
P/S (TTM)
4.18
P/FCF (TTM)
9.19
Rev YoY
+29.0%
EPS YoY
+146.6%
Gross Margin
+94.0%
Op Margin
+21.7%
Net Debt
$2.13B
Current Ratio
1.29
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data