B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$420.00
+35.3% vs current
AMG
Affiliated Managers GroupBNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$338.00
+8.8% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$285.00
-8.2% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-14
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+18.4
Positive
Company
+23.6
Positive
Macro
+18.6
Positive
Pulse
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+59.7
Score
AI commentary
Market and analyst sentiment is mixed-to-cautious: the median analyst target near $338 implies only modest upside from the current anchor (329.79), while individual targets range widely, signaling dispersion on flow and fee outcomes [#SERP-6][#SERP-2]. Near-term sentiment hinges on upcoming results and any capital-return signals; longer-term conviction depends on sustained performance-fee recovery and AUM retention [#SERP-1][#SERP-4].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-14
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-15eventCapital return / share repurchase cadenceMedium impact
Continuation or enlargement of buyback/dividend program could materially boost per‑share metrics and investor sentiment; analysts cite capital return optionality in models [#SERP-3], [#SERP-5].
2026-05-15catalystNext quarterly earnings and AUM updateMedium impact
Quarterly results and AUM/flows update that typically drive stock re-rating; market expects modest upside vs. peers per recent analyst notes and consensus targets [#SERP-1], [#SERP-6].
2027-02-14catalystMulti-year performance fee and active management recoveryHigh impact
A sustained rebound in active management performance and higher performance fees would lift long-term earnings and justify multiple expansion; consensus targets show wide dispersion reflecting this structural uncertainty [#SERP-2], [#SERP-4].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology