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AMG

Affiliated Managers GroupB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record AUM, strong net inflows, increasing alternative-strategy contribution, robust earnings growth, and buybacks support a constructive medium-term thesis. The deterministic prior is positive, with projected returns of 6.8% over 20 days and 14.3% over 120 days.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.4.
What can break
Earnings growth and valuation support may depend on sustained alternative-strategy demand, market gains, and successful affiliate investments.
Momentum
56
Value
57
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $425.00 · Bull $470.00 · Bear $300.00Analysis 2026-08-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $437.29
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d -3.9
Value57 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +7.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Earnings growth and valuation support may depend on sustained alternative-strategy demand, market gains, and successful affiliate investments.
  • • Insider activity is mixed and includes option exercises, tax withholding, an open-market CEO sale, and a director purchase; it is not evidence of operating performance.
  • • The thesis remains dependent on continued alternative inflows and favorable asset markets.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

July 30 Q2 earnings and alternative-flow inflection

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
56
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-10.9
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.4
Δ21d
+3.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 55.7 / Value 56.6 / Sentiment 74.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-12. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$470.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$425.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.6B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
25.86M
P/E (TTM)
19.5
P/S (TTM)
4.18
P/FCF (TTM)
9.19
Rev YoY
+29.0%
EPS YoY
+146.6%
Gross Margin
+94.0%
Op Margin
+21.7%
Net Debt
$2.13B
Current Ratio
1.29
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data