B+
Bull case
28%
Probability
Target price
$262.00
+15.0% vs current
AME
AMETEKCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
47%
Probability
Target price
$245.00
+7.6% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
-7.8% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-03
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.6
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+54.7
Score
AI commentary
Near-term news tone is positive because the company paired a beat-and-raise quarter with a same-day acquisition announcement and a concrete Q2 2026 guidance range. Market reaction appears constructive but not euphoric: a pre-earnings source on April 29 referenced shares around $228.95, while a May 1 post-earnings analyst note referenced about $231.80, implying only a modest gain after the release. Delayed analyst reaction in checked sources was thin, with BMO's reaffirmation more visible than a broad wave of target resets, so this remains a cautious post-earnings monitoring memo rather than a strong re-rating thesis.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-03
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-30eventQ1 beat-and-raise with record orders and backlogMedium impact
AMETEK reported Q1 2026 sales of $1.93 billion, adjusted EPS of $1.97, raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $7.94-$8.14 from $7.87-$8.07, and highlighted record orders and backlog; the 10-Q said Q1 orders rose 23.3% to $2.22 billion and backlog reached a record $3.87 billion [#8-K-2026-04-30] [#10-Q-2026-04-30].
2026-04-30eventFirst Aviation deal adds another aerospace/defense MRO bolt-onMedium impact
AMETEK announced a definitive agreement to acquire First Aviation Services, an approximately $80 million revenue aerospace and defense MRO asset that broadens component repair and proprietary parts exposure; the transaction remains subject to customary closing conditions, including applicable regulatory approvals [#8-K-2026-04-30].
2026-06-30eventQ2 2026 guide checkpoint for sales, EPS, and backlog conversionMedium impact
For the quarter ending June 30, 2026, AMETEK guided for overall sales up high single digits and adjusted EPS of $1.96-$2.00, up 10%-12% year over year; this creates a dated company-specific checkpoint for whether record Q1 orders and backlog are converting without margin giveback [#8-K-2026-04-30] [#10-Q-2026-04-30].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology