RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

ALIT

AlightC
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart

AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-10-20
Recent news sentiment (30D)
0.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+45.4
Score

AI commentary

Recent headline coverage is thin. Stored third-party coverage described a negative initial Q2 share-price reaction despite results above its cited estimates, but that historical reaction is not the October 19 price move. Verified analyst revisions, options, short-interest, employee and sufficient social measurements are unavailable; zero fields denote missing data, not neutral readings.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-20
Open full AI memo

Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact
standard
Confidence
-

AI events

2026-11-15catalystQ3 results test weak second-half outlookHigh impact

Alight guided Q3 revenue to $469–$479 million and adjusted EBITDA to $55–$61 million, citing the effects of weak 2025 commercial execution and seasonally higher Q3 expenses. The date is an estimated reporting window, not an announced release date. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1809104/000162828026052572/alit-20260630xexx991.htm

2026-12-31eventCredit-agreement refinancing uncertaintyHigh impact

Alight disclosed lender discussions about a potential refinancing or extension, but said no satisfactory definitive agreement had been reached and it was not actively pursuing a transaction at that time. Resolution could materially affect the balance-sheet thesis; the date is a monitoring horizon, not a company deadline. The filing also warns against relying on older lender materials as current projections. [#8-K-2026-10-14] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1809104/000162828026065893/alit-20261014.htm

2027-12-31catalystRecurring-revenue stabilization and cash generationHigh impact

Q2 revenue fell 3.2% year over year as lower net commercial activity outweighed higher project revenue. First-half operating cash flow was $152 million, while June 30 total debt was $1.996 billion. Sustained retention improvement and cash generation remain unproven; the date is an analytical horizon. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1809104/000162828026052572/alit-20260630xexx991.htm

View full catalyst timeline

Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo
As of 2026-10-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology