AER

AerCapB

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

Bull case: sustained narrowbody demand, improving lease rates, resilient residual values, disciplined capital returns and higher utilization drive earnings and multiple expansion toward the analyst high (170.1).

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

What can break

Higher aircraft financing costs

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $151.11 · Bull $170.10 · Bear $126.64

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $170.89

Why

Momentum63 · Δ7d +7.9

Value60 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment48 · Δ7d -2.6

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+7.9

Δ21d

+15.5

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

-0.6

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.6

Δ21d

-4.5

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 63.1 / Value 59.8 / Sentiment 47.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$23.93B

Beta

1.21

Shares Out

157.69M

P/E (TTM)

28.4

P/S (TTM)

5.06

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

363.89

Rev YoY

-5.1%

EPS YoY

+41.3%

Gross Margin

+55.7%

Op Margin

+71.7%

Net Debt

$42.13B

Current Ratio

0.62

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology