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AENT

Alliance EntertainmentB
Nasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 FY2026 showed 21.2% revenue growth, higher net income, and stronger year-to-date adjusted EBITDA, while vinyl, CD, and movie categories grew. Confirmation at the September 10 event could support a rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-09-10 · AMC.
What can break
Alliance Authentic and Endstate commercialization remain unproven and may not contribute materially.
Momentum
95
Value
64
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.60 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $3.50Analysis 2026-09-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-09-10 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.00
Why
Momentum95 · Δ7d -
Value64 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-09-10 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Alliance Authentic and Endstate commercialization remain unproven and may not contribute materially.
  • • Detailed balance-sheet, cash-flow, and dilution interpretation is limited by the available filing excerpts.
  • • Low coverage, absent consensus and guidance data, no recent-news stream, and unproven monetization of Alliance Authentic limit conviction.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-10 · AMC

FY2026 results and conference call

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
95
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 94.6 / Value 64.2 / Sentiment 59.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$278.35M
Beta
0.48
Shares Out
50.98M
P/E (TTM)
20.5
P/S (TTM)
0.37
P/FCF (TTM)
9.83
Rev YoY
+21.2%
EPS YoY
+24.8%
Gross Margin
+13.3%
Op Margin
+3.8%
Net Debt
$81.2M
Current Ratio
1.33
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data