B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ACEL
Accel EntertainmentANYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-25
Recent news sentiment (30D)
0.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+61.7
Score
AI commentary
The positive directional prior rests on verified Q2 operating results, but Q3 remains unreported as of October 25. Recent analyst revisions, a verified current price-reaction explanation, options positioning, short interest and social-coverage measurements are unavailable. Zero-valued sentiment fields mark missing data, not neutral readings; the buzz label is low-conviction. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-25
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-11-03eventNovember 3 Q3 results test operating growthHigh impact
Accel scheduled its Q3 results and call for November 3. Q2 revenue rose 10% to $368 million and adjusted EBITDA rose 11% to $59 million; those historical results are not Q3 guidance. The next report will test whether growth and cash conversion persisted. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-10-07] [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
2027-03-31eventChicago gaming-location activationHigh impact
Accel reported that 17 locations approved by the Illinois Gaming Board were its locations. City licensing and terminal connection were still needed before operations could begin; revenue conversion, not approvals alone, is the catalyst. The date is a monitoring horizon, not company guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
2027-06-30catalystIllinois route productivity and TITO adoptionMedium impact
Illinois distributed-gaming revenue excluding Fairmount Park rose 6% year over year in Q2. Management cited better hold per day and customer mix and expects benefits from its ticket-in, ticket-out-enabled installed base to build. Sustained per-location gains remain to be demonstrated; the date is a monitoring horizon. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-25 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology