ACEL

Accel EntertainmentA

NYSE / Consumer Services

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B+

Bull case

25%

Probability

Target price

$15.50

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Most likely

Base case

50%

Probability

Target price

$13.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B-

Bear case

25%

Probability

Target price

$9.75

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-09-10

AI commentary

Primary-company evidence is constructive, led by the Q2 record quarter and Chicago rollout progress. A secondary earnings-season review reported a modest 1.8% post-print decline, suggesting the market response was not fully supportive despite the reported beat. Analyst revisions and broader positioning data are unavailable, so the appropriate stance is cautious monitoring.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-10

Open full AI memo

Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-09-30catalystPost-Q2 expectations resetMedium impact

A secondary earnings-season review reported the stock down 1.8% after the Q2 print despite revenue and EPS beats, implying expectations may remain demanding. Near-term upside depends on whether continued execution closes that gap. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-19]

2026-12-31eventChicago distributed-gaming rolloutHigh impact

The Illinois Gaming Board had begun issuing approvals, with 17 approved locations, or 44%, associated with Accel. Further approvals and city-license execution could expand the Chicago opportunity, though timing remains uncertain. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]

2026-12-31catalystTITO adoption and route-quality improvementHigh impact

Accel reported that its Illinois installed base is now ticket-in/ticket-out enabled, while Illinois revenue excluding Fairmount Park rose 6% year over year on improved hold-per-day, route quality, and customer mix. Management expects adoption benefits to build over time. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology