B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Z
Zillow GroupCNasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-08
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-30.8
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-30.8
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-18.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+82.5
Score
AI commentary
At the $33.43 anchor price on 2026-08-06, the packet's post-print headlines describe negative market tone, a surprise loss, weaker guidance, executive changes, and a Bernstein downgrade. Exact price reaction and analyst revision data are unavailable; social coverage is also unavailable, so the positive deterministic prior remains tentative.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-08
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-08catalystPost-earnings reset risk from slower Q3 trajectoryHigh impact
Q2 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA exceeded outlook, but company guidance points to deceleration: Q3 total revenue of $745 million to $760 million, For Sale growth of 5% to 7%, and flat Residential revenue. The packet's 2026-08-06 headlines also report a negative post-print reaction and a Bernstein downgrade. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
2026-11-06eventExecution against Q3 company outlookMedium impact
Delivery of Q3 revenue of $745 million to $760 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $180 million to $200 million could stabilize sentiment if the company maintains its stated margin-expansion trajectory. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
2026-12-31catalystShare repurchases and liquidity supportMedium impact
The company repurchased 5.6 million shares for $200 million in Q2 and reported approximately $1.1 billion remaining under its authorization, alongside $1.2 billion of total liquidity. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology