RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

Z

Zillow GroupC
Nasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Zillow delivered Q2 revenue growth of 18% to $772 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $176 million, both above outlook, while For Sale revenue rose 14% and Rentals revenue rose 31%. AI engagement metrics and the Preferred transition could support longer-term monetization.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.5.
What can break
AI-mode engagement is promising but early-stage; higher usage may not yet translate into durable monetization.
Momentum
28
Value
50
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $36.00 · Bull $46.00 · Bear $28.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $46.96
Why
Momentum28 · Δ7d -13.8
Value50 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +11.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI-mode engagement is promising but early-stage; higher usage may not yet translate into durable monetization.
  • • Mortgage-rate increases and weak housing transactions could pressure traffic, demand, and partner spending.
  • • The Q2 GAAP result was a $4 million loss, traffic declined 2% year over year, and Q3 guidance implies slower growth with flat Residential revenue.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-08

Post-earnings reset risk from slower Q3 trajectory

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
28
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.8
Δ21d
+4.5
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.5
Δ21d
+11.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 27.9 / Value 50.1 / Sentiment 62.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.61B
Beta
2.08
Shares Out
224.87M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
355.7
P/S (TTM)
6.43
P/FCF (TTM)
107.15
Rev YoY
+17.9%
EPS YoY
-320.0%
Gross Margin
+72.9%
Op Margin
+1.8%
Net Debt
-$843M
Current Ratio
1.92
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data