RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

YUMC

Yum ChinaB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q2 showed broad-based operating momentum: system sales, transactions, operating profit, margins, store openings, and digital membership all improved. Continued format rollout, Pizza Hut recovery, and shareholder returns could support rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -15.0.
What can break
Analyst target revisions, options positioning, short interest, employee sentiment, and usable social coverage are unavailable.
Momentum
38
Value
61
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $48.00 · Bull $55.00 · Bear $37.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $60.64
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -16.3
Value61 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d -15.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -15.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target revisions, options positioning, short interest, employee sentiment, and usable social coverage are unavailable.
  • • Average ticket declines at KFC and Pizza Hut could constrain sales-quality improvement despite transaction growth.
  • • The stock still depends on converting transaction growth into profitable sales while delivery mix and rider costs rise.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Q2 growth and capital-return follow-through

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-16.3
Δ21d
-36.2
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.7
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.0
Δ21d
+1.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 38.2 / Value 60.9 / Sentiment 75.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$16.14B
Beta
0.13
Shares Out
342.46M
P/E (TTM)
19.4
P/S (TTM)
1.46
P/FCF (TTM)
27.67
Rev YoY
+12.6%
EPS YoY
+21.6%
Gross Margin
+17.2%
Op Margin
+12.5%
Net Debt
$964M
Current Ratio
0.96
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data