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YUM

Yum! BrandsB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Unit expansion, resilient U.S. comps and margin recovery drive royalty and fee growth; franchise leverage converts modest comp beats into outsized EPS growth and multiple expansion, supporting upside toward our bull target.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.7.
What can break
China and international demand slowdown
Momentum
31
Value
48
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $163.73 · Bull $185.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-02-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $175.07
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d -3.8
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +9.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • China and international demand slowdown
  • • Commodity and labor cost inflation
  • • Slower international demand (notably China/EM), persistent commodity and labor inflation, or franchisee profitability deterioration compress royalties and SSS, slowing EPS growth and pushing the stock toward the bear range.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-07

Next quarterly earnings release (assumed window end)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.8
Δ21d
+8.6
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.7
Δ21d
-1.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 30.9 / Value 48.3 / Sentiment 79.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$163.73
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$39.61B
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
272.9M
P/E (TTM)
27.9
P/S (TTM)
5.18
P/FCF (TTM)
53.09
Rev YoY
+12.2%
EPS YoY
+131.4%
Gross Margin
+45.3%
Op Margin
+32.4%
Net Debt
$12.29B
Current Ratio
0.59
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data