B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
YSS
York SpaceCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$8.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-11
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.2
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+75.5
Score
AI commentary
News flow is mixed-negative: the new VLEO platform and conference appearance are offset by several securities-law investigation and solicitation headlines. No sufficient social dataset, options-skew data, short-interest figure, employee score or verified post-earnings price reaction was supplied; the zero-valued fields are unavailable-data placeholders rather than neutral readings. Analyst revision breadth is also unavailable. These gaps, combined with reduced guidance and uncertain award timing, support cautious monitoring despite the positive deterministic prior.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-11
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-12-03eventNext results will test execution after reduced guidanceHigh impact
Q2 revenue increased 10% year over year to $92.5 million and gross profit increased 133%, but management reduced full-year 2026 revenue guidance because larger government programs were progressing slowly. The next reporting update should clarify revenue timing, margins and backlog conversion. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13]
2026-12-03catalystBacklog and government-award timing remain pressure pointsHigh impact
Q2 backlog was $592 million versus $642 million after Q1, while management attributed its lower 2026 revenue outlook to slow progress on larger government programs and the initially slower IDIQ process. Further delays or weak funded-task-order conversion could pressure the shares. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13]
2027-09-11catalystIDIQ positions may convert into larger task ordersHigh impact
York reported eight contract wins at an 88% proposal win rate in the first half, including six awards under the newer IDIQ approach. Management expects these initial positions to create opportunities for larger operational programs in 2027 and beyond, but timing remains dependent on government procurement. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology