XPOF

Xponential FitnessD

NYSE / Consumer Services

At close

2026-06-02

Current thesis

The bull case is mostly event-driven: the strategic review could surface a sale, merger, or other transaction premium, while the FTC settlement removes a meaningful headline overhang. Beneath that, Xponential still has a multi-brand, asset-light franchise platform with scale in Pilates, stretching, yoga, barre, and strength modalities, and the stock sits below the packet's median analyst target of $8.55.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.6.

What can break

2026 guidance already implies weaker revenue and EBITDA, so operating misses could quickly pressure equity value. [#8-K-2026-02-26]

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $7.25 · Bull $9.50 · Bear $4.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-02

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-02 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-02

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $8.55

Why

Momentum8 · Δ7d +1.2

Value60 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment73 · Δ7d +4.6

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

+1.2

Δ21d

-13.1

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

-0.4

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+4.6

Δ21d

-2.2

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 8.1 / Value 60.4 / Sentiment 73.3

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-02

Market Cap

$254.34M

Beta

1.42

Shares Out

48.91M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-3.5

P/S (TTM)

1.23

P/FCF (TTM)

63.10

Rev YoY

-2.1%

EPS YoY

+38.8%

Gross Margin

+78.2%

Op Margin

-8.1%

Net Debt

$333.81M

Current Ratio

1.06

As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology