XPOF

Xponential FitnessB

NYSE / Consumer Services

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

The bull case is mostly event-driven: the strategic review could surface a sale, merger, or other transaction premium, while the FTC settlement removes a meaningful headline overhang. Beneath that, Xponential still has a multi-brand, asset-light franchise platform with scale in Pilates, stretching, yoga, barre, and strength modalities, and the stock sits below the packet's median analyst target of $8.55.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.

What can break

2026 guidance already implies weaker revenue and EBITDA, so operating misses could quickly pressure equity value. [#8-K-2026-02-26]

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $7.25 · Bull $9.50 · Bear $4.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $6.75

Why

Momentum73 · Δ7d -9.0

Value51 · Δ7d +0.2

Sentiment60 · Δ7d +0.4

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-9.0

Δ21d

-15.5

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.2

Δ21d

+0.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.4

Δ21d

+5.7

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 73.0 / Value 51.2 / Sentiment 60.2

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$279.24M

Beta

1.42

Shares Out

37.31M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-5.1

P/S (TTM)

1.23

P/FCF (TTM)

63.10

Rev YoY

-21.0%

EPS YoY

-79.8%

Gross Margin

+77.6%

Op Margin

-8.1%

Net Debt

$478.83M

Current Ratio

0.72

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology