XPO
XPOFNYSE / Transportation
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Bull case assumes successful execution of network optimization, meaningful margin recovery and one-off strategic transactions that unlock value, supporting upside toward the analyst high near $250 [#SERP-1].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
Execution risk on margin-recovery initiatives
Momentum
35
Value
47
Sentiment
26
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $178.00 · Bull $250.00 · Bear $95.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $233.14
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d +12.5
Value47 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment26 · Δ7d -4.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
35
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.5
Δ21d
-6.1
Value
47
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
26
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.9
Δ21d
-6.4
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 35.1 / Value 47.0 / Sentiment 26.3
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$25.25B
Beta
2.06
Shares Out
117.41M
P/E (TTM)
52.3
P/S (TTM)
2.11
P/FCF (TTM)
73.44
Rev YoY
+7.3%
EPS YoY
+47.6%
Gross Margin
+12.2%
Op Margin
+8.1%
Net Debt
$3.78B
Current Ratio
0.99
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

