XOM
ExxonmobilCNYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Post-earnings evidence improved on the operating side: adjusted EPS beat expectation, record Guyana production and Permian strength helped offset disruption, and Golden Pass reached first LNG. The release also kept 2026 buybacks on pace at $20 billion assuming reasonable market conditions [#8-K-2026-05-01].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-24 · BMO.
What can break
A reversal in crude and gas prices could remove the macro support that helped offset war-related operational disruption in Q1.
Momentum
43
Value
51
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $156.00 · Bull $170.00 · Bear $140.00
Earnings
2026-07-24 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $167.43
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d +9.1
Value51 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -10.2
So what
Balanced signals. Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
43
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.1
Δ21d
+13.7
Value
51
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
56
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.2
Δ21d
-10.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 43.2 / Value 50.8 / Sentiment 56.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$610.73B
Beta
0.38
Shares Out
4.14B
P/E (TTM)
18.2
P/S (TTM)
1.63
P/FCF (TTM)
80.85
Rev YoY
+7.3%
EPS YoY
-43.6%
Gross Margin
+20.9%
Op Margin
+11.9%
Net Debt
$39.81B
Current Ratio
1.04
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

