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WY

WeyerhaeuserA
NYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The positive read is that Q1 showed a real sequential rebound: net sales rose to $1.727 billion from $1.541 billion in Q4, Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled sequentially to $308 million, Wood Products returned to positive earnings before special items, and Strategic Land Solutions kept its full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA outlook near $425 million [#8-K-2026-04-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Adjusted FAD was negative $58 million in Q1 even after the earnings rebound, while cash dividends were $151 million and capital expenditures remained elevated.
Momentum
22
Value
59
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $27.50 · Bull $31.80 · Bear $21.00Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $26.55
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d +5.4
Value59 · Δ7d -
Sentiment79 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted FAD was negative $58 million in Q1 even after the earnings rebound, while cash dividends were $151 million and capital expenditures remained elevated.
  • • Management flagged elevated macro uncertainty and a housing market that remains uneven, leaving lumber and panel pricing vulnerable to affordability and demand swings.
  • • The cautious read is that Q1 quality was helped by special items and lumpy land activity: net earnings included a $58 million gain on Virginia timberlands and a $21 million product-remediation insurance recovery, while Strategic Land Solutions benefited from a $94 million conservation easement and is already guided down materially for Q2 [#8-K-2026-04-30] [#10-Q-2026-05-01].

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Portfolio monetization proceeds support capital-allocation flexibility

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
+9.2
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
79
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 21.6 / Value 58.9 / Sentiment 78.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$31.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$27.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$13.98B
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
720.74M
P/E (TTM)
53.1
P/S (TTM)
2.47
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-13.37
Rev YoY
-0.9%
EPS YoY
+86.7%
Gross Margin
+14.5%
Op Margin
+6.2%
Net Debt
$5.25B
Current Ratio
1.82
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data