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WWD

WoodwardA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The cleanest bullish read is that Woodward both beat pre-report expectations and raised full-year guidance, with broad-based strength across Aerospace and Industrial and continued pricing support [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Industrial profitability included a reserve for a product performance claim, which adds execution noise even as segment demand stayed strong [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Momentum
43
Value
48
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $380.00 · Bull $430.00 · Bear $325.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $427.92
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d +11.9
Value48 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment83 · Δ7d +11.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Industrial profitability included a reserve for a product performance claim, which adds execution noise even as segment demand stayed strong [#8-K-2026-04-29].
  • • Initial market reaction was muted versus the magnitude of the guidance raise, suggesting a meaningful share of the good news may already be priced in.
  • • The cautious read is that the stock had already rerated sharply into earnings, immediate analyst revision data is still thin on this T+1 run, and the next upside leg likely requires second-half execution rather than just another headline beat.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-29

Q2 FY2026 beat-and-raise resets the near-term bar

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
43
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+11.9
Δ21d
+7.4
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
83
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.1
Δ21d
-0.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 43.0 / Value 47.8 / Sentiment 82.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$430.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$380.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$325.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$17.92B
Beta
1.00
Shares Out
59.05M
P/E (TTM)
44.8
P/S (TTM)
5.41
P/FCF (TTM)
70.02
Rev YoY
+21.2%
EPS YoY
+36.3%
Gross Margin
+29.5%
Op Margin
+15.8%
Net Debt
$400.44M
Current Ratio
1.65
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data