B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$2.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WVVI
Willamette Valley VineyardsBNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Successful distributor replacement, improving cash collection, and stabilization in direct retail channels could support recovery from the Q2 disruption. Increased per-visitor spending was a modest offset to lower visitation.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Direct and outpost sales weakened in Q2, while aggregate retail visitation declined.
Momentum
99
Value
36
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.23 · Bull $2.65 · Bear $1.70Analysis 2026-08-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum99 · Δ7d -
Value36 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Direct and outpost sales weakened in Q2, while aggregate retail visitation declined.
- • Distributor replacement and channel recovery remain unproven.
- • The earnings print showed weaker revenue, lower gross profit, sharply higher SG&A, and a significant loss tied to distributor credit exposure.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-16
Distributor bankruptcy and Q2 earnings shock
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
99
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
36
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-3.6
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 98.8 / Value 35.9 / Sentiment 68.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-21. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$2.23
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.25M
Beta
0.34
Shares Out
4.98M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-3.5
P/S (TTM)
0.41
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-32.80
Rev YoY
-1.6%
EPS YoY
+322.8%
Gross Margin
+59.1%
Op Margin
-7.9%
Net Debt
$30.01M
Current Ratio
2.92
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data