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WSM

Williams-SonomaC
NYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The earnings release supports a constructive operating trend: strong comps across brands, raised full-year guidance, stable inventory, and substantial liquidity. Post-print coverage cited UBS raising its target to $247 from $190 while maintaining Neutral and Jefferies raising its target to $275 from $260 while maintaining Buy.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Housing-market weakness, elevated rates, inflation, tariffs, and weaker consumer confidence could pressure discretionary demand.
Momentum
71
Value
49
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $255.00 · Bull $285.00 · Bear $205.00Analysis 2026-08-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $252.95
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d -12.8
Value49 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Housing-market weakness, elevated rates, inflation, tariffs, and weaker consumer confidence could pressure discretionary demand.
  • • Recent Form 4 activity shows open-market sales by the CEO and an EVP; this is a secondary sentiment signal, not evidence of operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-07-17] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-10]
  • • The initial post-print reaction was negative despite the beat, indicating that expectations were elevated.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-26

Q2 beat and raised FY2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
71
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.8
Δ21d
-7.1
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
+34.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 71.1 / Value 49.5 / Sentiment 62.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$285.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$255.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$205.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$28.31B
Beta
1.63
Shares Out
117.75M
P/E (TTM)
21.6
P/S (TTM)
2.89
P/FCF (TTM)
28.69
Rev YoY
+4.4%
EPS YoY
+4.1%
Gross Margin
+46.1%
Op Margin
+18.0%
Net Debt
$437.1M
Current Ratio
1.33
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data