B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$142.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WMT
WalmartBNasdaq / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The primary-source earnings evidence supports a resilient operating story: revenue grew 7.3%, eCommerce rose 26%, advertising rose 37%, membership fee revenue rose 17.4%, and FY27 guidance was reaffirmed. That supports a cautious bull case that Walmart can keep gaining share and improving mix.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.4.
What can break
Forward visibility is limited because the available packet does not include confirmed post-print estimate revisions or detailed analyst target-change data.
Momentum
31
Value
42
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $126.00 · Bull $142.00 · Bear $108.00Analysis 2026-05-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $129.07
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d +15.5
Value42 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d +3.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Forward visibility is limited because the available packet does not include confirmed post-print estimate revisions or detailed analyst target-change data.
- • Higher fuel costs reduced operating income growth by about 250 bps in Q1 FY27, keeping margin bridge risk active. [#8-K-2026-05-21]
- • The bear case is that the print did not create a strong forward reset.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-21
Q1 FY27 earnings print and FY27 guide reaffirmation set the monitoring baseline
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.5
Δ21d
+11.3
Value
42
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.4
Δ21d
+9.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 30.9 / Value 42.2 / Sentiment 83.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$126.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$108.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$909.85B
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
7.96B
P/E (TTM)
39.5
P/S (TTM)
1.28
P/FCF (TTM)
113.01
Rev YoY
+5.9%
EPS YoY
-8.7%
Gross Margin
+25.2%
Op Margin
+4.4%
Net Debt
$56.37B
Current Ratio
0.77
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data