B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$142.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WMT
WalmartCNasdaq / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The primary-source earnings evidence supports a resilient operating story: revenue grew 7.3%, eCommerce rose 26%, advertising rose 37%, membership fee revenue rose 17.4%, and FY27 guidance was reaffirmed. That supports a cautious bull case that Walmart can keep gaining share and improving mix.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
5 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Forward visibility is limited because the available packet does not include confirmed post-print estimate revisions or detailed analyst target-change data.
Momentum
69
Value
41
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
5 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $126.00 · Bull $142.00 · Bear $108.00Analysis 2026-05-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $129.15
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d +9.8
Value41 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -3.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 5 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Forward visibility is limited because the available packet does not include confirmed post-print estimate revisions or detailed analyst target-change data.
- • Higher fuel costs reduced operating income growth by about 250 bps in Q1 FY27, keeping margin bridge risk active. [#8-K-2026-05-21]
- • The bear case is that the print did not create a strong forward reset.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-21
Q1 FY27 earnings print and FY27 guide reaffirmation set the monitoring baseline
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
69
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.8
Δ21d
+19.6
Value
41
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.1
Δ21d
-28.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 69.1 / Value 40.7 / Sentiment 57.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$126.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$108.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$954.35B
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
7.93B
P/E (TTM)
39.5
P/S (TTM)
1.28
P/FCF (TTM)
113.01
Rev YoY
+5.9%
EPS YoY
-8.7%
Gross Margin
+25.2%
Op Margin
+4.4%
Net Debt
$56.37B
Current Ratio
0.77
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data