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WMG

Warner Music GroupD
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
View Chart
Current thesis
The post-earnings read-through is constructive: WMG delivered a clean beat-like quarter with 17% revenue growth, much stronger operating leverage, and better cash generation, while streaming pricing and mix were cited as operating drivers in the filing. The packet's median analyst target of $37.12 implies roughly 20% upside from the $31.04 anchor, but visible T+3 revision evidence is still limited.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Investing cash usage was heavy in the first half, including $457 million for music-related assets, so acquisition pacing and return realization need to stay disciplined. [#10-Q-2026-05-07]
Momentum
19
Value
56
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $27.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $38.94
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -2.2
Value56 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -1.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
19
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
+1.2
Value
56
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
62
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-7.6
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 18.6 / Value 56.0 / Sentiment 61.9

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$14.64B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
521.62M
P/E (TTM)
44.2
P/S (TTM)
2.39
P/FCF (TTM)
1135.62
Rev YoY
+16.7%
EPS YoY
+393.1%
Gross Margin
+40.2%
Op Margin
+10.3%
Net Debt
$4.08B
Current Ratio
0.73
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology