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WMG

Warner Music GroupB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q3 print supports a constructive thesis: strong subscription streaming, resilient market share, improved terms with DSP partners, operating leverage, and robust cash generation could drive continued earnings growth and multiple expansion. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
What can break
Analyst target count, estimate revisions, and post-earnings target changes are unavailable.
Momentum
88
Value
54
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.00 · Bull $36.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $37.88
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d +9.2
Value54 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +0.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target count, estimate revisions, and post-earnings target changes are unavailable.
  • • Failure to reach the high end of the 150–200 basis-point FY2026 margin-expansion range.
  • • The market may demand continued delivery after a strong print.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q3 FY2026 earnings delivered strong operating improvement

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
88
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.2
Δ21d
+24.2
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
-1.6
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-26.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 87.9 / Value 54.0 / Sentiment 53.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$15.86B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
523.11M
P/E (TTM)
44.2
P/S (TTM)
2.39
P/FCF (TTM)
1135.62
Rev YoY
+10.4%
EPS YoY
-1348.5%
Gross Margin
+40.1%
Op Margin
+18.8%
Net Debt
$4.08B
Current Ratio
0.73
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data