B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$285.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
WM
Waste ManagementBNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Pricing and efficiency initiatives outperform, driving margin expansion and multiple re-rating toward the analyst high (bull target).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.3.
What can break
Fuel/commodity cost shocks raising operating expenses
Momentum
25
Value
51
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $247.86 · Bull $285.00 · Bear $199.59Analysis 2026-01-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $261.22
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d +5.6
Value51 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +8.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Fuel/commodity cost shocks raising operating expenses
- • Regulatory changes affecting tipping fees or contract economics
- • Commercial volume weakness, commodity or fuel shocks, or adverse municipal outcomes compress margins and push consensus toward the analyst low (bear target).
Catalyst clock
2026-04-29
Consensus re-rating after quarterly results
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
-6.6
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.3
Δ21d
+5.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 24.7 / Value 50.5 / Sentiment 80.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$247.86
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$199.59
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$89.54B
Beta
0.58
Shares Out
399.72M
P/E (TTM)
34.6
P/S (TTM)
3.57
P/FCF (TTM)
80.37
Rev YoY
+4.0%
EPS YoY
+8.6%
Gross Margin
+29.1%
Op Margin
+18.5%
Net Debt
$23.61B
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data