B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WLY
John Wiley SonsANYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Wiley is building a differentiated research-content and AI-data platform. Research publishing growth, recurring AI revenue, Emerald synergies, strong retention, and cost savings could support earnings normalization and multiple expansion.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.0.
What can break
AI licensing revenue is variable and comparisons are affected by a prior-year $29 million contract.
Momentum
65
Value
63
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $54.00 · Bull $68.00 · Bear $40.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $68.00
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d -9.0
Value63 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +15.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AI licensing revenue is variable and comparisons are affected by a prior-year $29 million contract.
- • Analyst-target coverage, options data, short interest, employee sentiment, and social sentiment are unavailable.
- • The Q1 print still showed declining total revenue, weak Learning demand, a difficult AI licensing comparison, and higher leverage after Emerald.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-03
Q1 FY2027 results reaffirmed full-year outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
65
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.0
Δ21d
-15.0
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 65.4 / Value 63.3 / Sentiment 79.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.58B
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
50.76M
P/E (TTM)
16.4
P/S (TTM)
0.97
P/FCF (TTM)
20.44
Rev YoY
+1.2%
EPS YoY
+108.5%
Gross Margin
+71.1%
Op Margin
+17.7%
Net Debt
$693.22M
Current Ratio
0.54
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data