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WLY

John Wiley SonsA
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Research Publishing growth, expanding AI licensing, ahead-of-schedule Emerald integration, cost savings, and reaffirmed full-year guidance support a cautious bullish view.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +17.2.
What can break
AI licensing revenue remains potentially uneven, while the prior-year $29 million licensing comparison distorts near-term growth.
Momentum
65
Value
63
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $56.00 · Bull $68.00 · Bear $43.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $68.00
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d -8.8
Value63 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d +17.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +17.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI licensing revenue remains potentially uneven, while the prior-year $29 million licensing comparison distorts near-term growth.
  • • Learning demand weakness could persist, with Q1 revenue down 20% at constant currency and adjusted EBITDA down 56% [#SEC-8K-2026-09-03].
  • • Learning remains the principal weakness, while higher leverage, acquisition-related costs, seasonal cash usage, and lumpy AI licensing reduce confidence in near-term earnings momentum.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-03

Q1 FY2027 results and reaffirmed outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
65
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.8
Δ21d
-16.5
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+17.2
Δ21d
+3.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 64.7 / Value 63.2 / Sentiment 84.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$56.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.58B
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
50.76M
P/E (TTM)
16.4
P/S (TTM)
0.97
P/FCF (TTM)
20.44
Rev YoY
+1.2%
EPS YoY
+108.5%
Gross Margin
+71.1%
Op Margin
+17.7%
Net Debt
$693.22M
Current Ratio
0.54
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data