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WLY

John Wiley SonsB
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Research demand, AI licensing and Emerald synergies could support Wiley's reaffirmed fiscal 2027 outlook. Q1 Research adjusted EBITDA margin rose 130 basis points.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Fiscal 2027 guidance requires stronger performance after a first quarter in which revenue and adjusted EBITDA declined year over year. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-03] Wiley Q1 release
Momentum
91
Value
61
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $52.00 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $37.00Analysis 2026-09-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $68.00
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d +8.6
Value61 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -1.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fiscal 2027 guidance requires stronger performance after a first quarter in which revenue and adjusted EBITDA declined year over year. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-03] Wiley Q1 release
  • • Q1 GAAP EPS was a $0.23 loss amid restructuring and acquisition-related costs; adjusted EPS also declined year over year. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-03] Wiley Q1 release
  • • Learning softness, variable AI licensing, integration costs and higher acquisition-related interest expense may constrain earnings and cash flow despite the unchanged outlook.

Catalyst clock

2027-01-31

Research publishing and AI licensing follow-through

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
91
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.6
Δ21d
+31.1
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-2.0
Sentiment
49
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
-23.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 90.8 / Value 61.5 / Sentiment 48.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.73B
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
50.68M
P/E (TTM)
16.4
P/S (TTM)
0.97
P/FCF (TTM)
20.44
Rev YoY
+1.2%
EPS YoY
+108.5%
Gross Margin
+71.1%
Op Margin
+17.7%
Net Debt
$693.22M
Current Ratio
0.54
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data