B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$75.21
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WIX
Wix.comDNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Wix's prior official Q1 results showed strong bookings and revenue growth, rapid new-cohort expansion, and substantial Base44 ARR. If Q2 confirms steady core performance and improving Base44 economics, the $60.88 anchor could support a rerating.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +23.5.
What can break
Base44 and Harmony must convert product momentum into durable paid adoption and cash generation while AI competition and compute costs remain risks. [#IR-2026-05-13]
Momentum
95
Value
51
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $64.00 · Bull $75.21 · Bear $50.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $79.05
Why
Momentum95 · Δ7d -1.8
Value51 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment45 · Δ7d +23.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +23.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Base44 and Harmony must convert product momentum into durable paid adoption and cash generation while AI competition and compute costs remain risks. [#IR-2026-05-13]
- • Partners demand weakened enough to contribute to an approximately $50 million bookings and $25 million revenue reduction for FY2026, while the workforce reduction raises execution risk. [#SEC-6K-2026-06-08]
- • The June restructuring disclosure indicates weaker Partners demand and lower FY2026 top-line expectations; cost savings may improve margins but do not remove execution and growth risks.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-11
Post-earnings digestion remains the immediate evidence checkpoint
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
95
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
+3.5
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-14.0
Sentiment
45
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+23.5
Δ21d
+8.5
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 95.0 / Value 50.7 / Sentiment 45.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.09B
Beta
1.42
Shares Out
41.85M
P/E (TTM)
44.9
P/S (TTM)
2.87
P/FCF (TTM)
10.29
Rev YoY
+14.9%
EPS YoY
-283.7%
Gross Margin
+66.6%
Op Margin
-3.1%
Net Debt
$400.37M
Current Ratio
0.61
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data