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WEN

Wendy'sB
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The post-earnings bull read is that Wendy's cleared a low bar: Q1 revenue and EPS came in better than feared, full-year guidance was reaffirmed, international sales still grew, and the stock reacted positively on day one. With the shares at $7.30 after earnings versus a packet median target of about $8.07, even modest proof that U.S.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.4.
What can break
Lower franchise royalty revenue and higher G&A expense show that the franchised model is not fully insulating results from U.S. weakness [#8-K-2026-05-08].
Momentum
80
Value
62
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.75 · Bull $8.60 · Bear $5.80Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.80
Why
Momentum80 · Δ7d -9.2
Value62 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +15.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Lower franchise royalty revenue and higher G&A expense show that the franchised model is not fully insulating results from U.S. weakness [#8-K-2026-05-08].
  • • Net income declined to $22.7 million from $39.2 million and free cash flow fell to $36.5 million from $68.0 million, limiting room for a quick fundamental rerating [#8-K-2026-05-08].
  • • The bear read is that the quarter still showed real operating deterioration: U.S.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-15

Q1 beat, outlook reaffirmed, and positive day-one reaction

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
80
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.2
Δ21d
+9.4
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.6
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.4
Δ21d
+14.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 79.8 / Value 62.2 / Sentiment 63.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$7.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.64B
Beta
0.38
Shares Out
190.67M
P/E (TTM)
8.6
P/S (TTM)
0.70
P/FCF (TTM)
18.41
Rev YoY
+1.7%
EPS YoY
-40.3%
Gross Margin
+25.1%
Op Margin
+13.1%
Net Debt
$3.79B
Current Ratio
1.90
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data