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WEN

Wendy'sC
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
A credible recovery in U.S. traffic and franchisee economics could make the depressed $6.25 anchor price overly pessimistic.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Commodity and labor inflation combined with lower traffic pressured Q2 U.S. company-operated restaurant margin. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Momentum
15
Value
64
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $6.00 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $4.50Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $7.46
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d +2.3
Value64 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment49 · Δ7d +8.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commodity and labor inflation combined with lower traffic pressured Q2 U.S. company-operated restaurant margin. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
  • • U.S. net restaurant closures may continue; the packet does not establish whether the pace has stabilized after Q2. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
  • • Q2 U.S.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

U.S. sales and restaurant-count update

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
15
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
+8.5
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
49
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.3
Δ21d
-10.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 15.0 / Value 63.7 / Sentiment 49.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.19B
Beta
0.38
Shares Out
190.67M
P/E (TTM)
8.6
P/S (TTM)
0.70
P/FCF (TTM)
18.41
Rev YoY
+1.7%
EPS YoY
-40.3%
Gross Margin
+25.1%
Op Margin
+13.1%
Net Debt
$3.79B
Current Ratio
1.90
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data