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WDS

Woodside Energy GroupD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes stronger-than-expected commodity prices, successful project execution, and progressive cash returns, pushing multiple expansion and earnings upgrades within 12 months.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Adverse regulatory or tax changes in operating jurisdictions
Momentum
54
Value
46
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $16.50 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $14.00Analysis 2026-01-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $23.76
Why
Momentum54 · Δ7d -6.6
Value46 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment44 · Δ7d +5.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse regulatory or tax changes in operating jurisdictions
  • • Project execution delays or cost overruns
  • • Bear case assumes weaker spot LNG/oil pricing, execution delays, or dividend cuts that reduce earnings visibility and investor appetite, leading to multiple compression.

Catalyst clock

2026-02-24

FY2025 earnings release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
54
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-6.6
Δ21d
-23.3
Value
46
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
44
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.5
Δ21d
+2.1
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 54.1 / Value 45.7 / Sentiment 44.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$44.31B
Beta
0.21
Shares Out
1.9B
P/E (TTM)
10.1
P/S (TTM)
2.15
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-13.07
Rev YoY
+10.1%
EPS YoY
-32.1%
Gross Margin
+29.7%
Op Margin
+25.9%
Net Debt
$8.01B
Current Ratio
1.59
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data