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VYX

NCR VoyixB
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
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Current thesis
The constructive view is that NCR Voyix is finally becoming a cleaner retail-and-restaurant commerce platform story: the 10-K emphasizes SaaS, payments, services and AI-enabled platform expansion [#10-K-2026-02-26], while January, March and May company releases show product modernization plus named-customer adoption [#IR-2026-01-07] [#IR-2026-03-05] [#IR-2026-05-04]. If May 7 results keep the 2026 framework intact, the stock has room to rerate from a depressed base.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.6.
What can break
Balance-sheet and cash-flow pressure: the 10-K shows $231 million of cash, $1.1 billion of debt and 2025 operating cash use of $210 million, even though cash taxes from the Digital Banking sale distorted the year [#10-K-2026-02-26].
Momentum
36
Value
56
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.75 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $5.25Analysis 2026-05-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.96
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d -18.2
Value56 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +11.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Balance-sheet and cash-flow pressure: the 10-K shows $231 million of cash, $1.1 billion of debt and 2025 operating cash use of $210 million, even though cash taxes from the Digital Banking sale distorted the year [#10-K-2026-02-26].
  • Execution risk around the Ennoconn hardware ODM transition, including prior delays and dependence on a single-source partner [#10-K-2026-02-26].
  • The bear view is that this remains a transition story with limited room for error.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-07

May 7, 2026 earnings is the key proof point on transition timing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
36
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-18.2
Δ21d
-1.4
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.6
Δ21d
-14.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 36.3 / Value 56.3 / Sentiment 73.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$8.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$5.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.06B
Beta
1.46
Shares Out
138.07M
P/E (TTM)
1.5
P/S (TTM)
0.53
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-10.10
Rev YoY
-20.8%
EPS YoY
-74.8%
Gross Margin
+24.8%
Op Margin
+6.7%
Net Debt
$1.14B
Current Ratio
1.07
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data